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Enrollment Projections

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By Laura Vozzella and Laura Vozzella,SUN STAFF | August 9, 2001
The Howard County government's long wait for school enrollment projections appears to be coming to an end, as school officials prepare to present the final figures that will help determine the pace of county development. But the suspense could continue after Tuesday's meeting between representatives of the school system and County Executive James N. Robey and Planning and Zoning Director Joseph W. Rutter Jr. County and school officials might decide to wait for an enrollment count after schools open at the end of the month to further refine the estimate, said David Drown, who is coordinating enrollment projections for the schools.
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EXPLORE
September 1, 2011
Every few years, officials of the county government and its school system pour too much time and resources into a process that creates ill feelings among parents and children and headaches all around, all because no one seems able to predict with any degree of certainty where local classroom populations will bulge and where they will shrink. School redistricting is inevitable, of course, but the seemingly endless need for wholesale changes to the map points toward systemic flaws.
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NEWS
By Jennifer McMenamin and Jennifer McMenamin,SUN STAFF | June 26, 2003
The Carroll County school board voted yesterday to push back by a year the planned construction date for a $26 million middle school in South Carroll while school planners re-evaluate enrollment projections. School officials hope that delaying construction of the school until at least 2007 and gaining another year of enrollment data to study will prevent the county from building a school that could open half-full. In approving the district's 10-year blueprint for school construction and renovation projects, the board also agreed to accelerate plans for the renovations of three aging elementary schools.
NEWS
By LARRY CARSON | July 29, 2007
As the Howard County Council prepares for tomorrow's vote on the first school enrollment projections in 15 years that show no overcrowded classrooms, newer figures are troubling officials. A more recent set of estimates for 2010 -- newer than the charts the council is to vote on -- show crowding popping up more quickly than expected at Northfield Elementary School in Ellicott City and at three middle schools, including Harper's Choice in west Columbia. Northfield is to embark on a major renovation by next summer, but no new seats were planned.
NEWS
By Michael Dresser and Michael Dresser,SUN STAFF | October 3, 2001
Maryland's Medicaid program is running a deficit projected at $152 million this fiscal year, canceling out the budget windfall the state received in unexpected revenues by the end of last year. The Medicaid shortfall, caused by faulty enrollment projections and soaring inflation of medical costs, is forcing state officials to scramble to find ways to hold down the cost of health care for low-income Marylanders. But officials say they can do so without cutting vital services. The deficit, detailed in a report to the General Assembly, is in addition to a budget deficiency of $35 million in the state's mental health program, the report says.
NEWS
By HANAH CHO | October 16, 2005
Howard County's student enrollment projection for this school year was off by 73 children, according to David C. Drown, the school system's manager of school planning. School officials projected 47,858 students for the 2005-2006 year, but actual numbers as of Sept. 30 indicated that 73 fewer students, or 47,785 children, are enrolled in the school system - resulting in an error rate of 0.2 percent, Drown told school board and County Council members last week. Last school year's enrollment was 47,487 students.
NEWS
BY A SUN REPORTER | June 21, 2006
The sheets of paper swim with figures. Almost 1,200 of them. But one stands out: the number 1. And it means the Howard County school system is inching toward solving the overcrowding that has been a problem for so long. The latest enrollment projections, beginning in 2009, forecast only Manor Woods Elementary will be chronically overcrowded, or "closed," meaning home construction will be sharply restricted in that part of western Howard County. And that school is expected to slip into the "open" category the next year because of an expansion program that will add room for 100 more seats.
NEWS
By Tanika White and Tanika White,SUN STAFF | September 2, 2001
Maurice F. Kalin, the man many parents once loved to hate, has agreed to help the Howard County school system develop the next school year's capital budget and analyze the latest set of enrollment predictions. Kalin retired in June from his position as associate superintendent of planning and support services, saying he had had enough after 27 years in the district. But last week, Deputy Superintendent Sydney L. Cousin asked Kalin to come back as a consultant and do what he did best - slog through the mucky swamp of numbers, agendas and emotions and emerge with useful facts.
NEWS
By Jennifer McMenamin and Jennifer McMenamin,SUN STAFF | June 26, 2003
The Carroll County school board voted yesterday to push back by a year the planned construction date for a $26 million middle school in South Carroll while school planners re-evaluate enrollment projections. School officials hope that delaying construction of the school until at least 2007 and gaining another year of enrollment data to study will prevent the county from building a school that could open half-full. In approving the district's 10-year blueprint for school construction and renovation projects, the board also agreed to accelerate plans for the renovations of three aging elementary schools.
NEWS
By Donna R. Engle and Donna R. Engle,SUN STAFF | December 15, 1998
The Carroll County Planning Commission was to recommend today that the County Commissioners delay construction of two Westminster-area schools.Also today, a group of parents -- with the support of Westminster's mayor and Common Council -- was organizing to fight the recommendation.The council pledged its support last night to Westminster parents Laurie Walters and Robin Kable, who are seeking chairmen for a citizens group that will try to counter the Planning Commission's recommendation for a two-year delay in construction of a third middle school and a second high school for Westminster.
NEWS
By Arin Gencer and Arin Gencer,Sun Reporter | April 29, 2007
New schools in North and South Carroll, full-day kindergarten additions and the South Carroll fine arts addition are among the top needs identified for county school facilities over the next decade under a district plan. The new schools plotted for the 2007-2016 period include continued construction of Ebb Valley Elementary in the Manchester area, the northeast-area high school and a new elementary facility in South Carroll, for which planning would start in the 2009 fiscal year. Additions for full-day kindergarten at William Winchester, Winfield, Robert Moton, Sandymount, Elmer Wolfe, Cranberry Station, Taneytown and Friendship Valley elementary schools, as well as an addition at the Gateway School, fall under new projects.
NEWS
By Arin Gencer and Arin Gencer,sun reporter | April 11, 2007
The Carroll County school board yesterday stood behind plans for a high school in the county's northeast region. Discussing the project at a meeting last night, board members opted to keep the school a No. 1 priority, where it is listed on the school system's capital improvement budget requests for the 2008 fiscal year. Construction is scheduled to begin in July. "After all the meetings we've had, it seems the public doesn't understand that we're building a high school," board President Gary Bauer said, explaining why the issue was on the agenda yesterday.
NEWS
March 25, 2007
I appreciate the many local residents who turned out at our Town Council meeting last week. In the course of the meeting, I learned three important things. One, we were right to worry about the planned northeast area high school. Carroll County budget director Ted Zaleski made his recommendation to the Carroll County commissioners the day of our meeting. A new high school for our area was NOT RECOMMENDED for funding in the county's Capital Improvement Plan. While the county commissioners have not made a final decision, the recommendation from Mr. Zaleski is an unsettling turn of events.
NEWS
By Arin Gencer and Arin Gencer,Sun Reporter | March 18, 2007
Parents from the northeast area of the county say they are not giving up the fight to get a new high school built, despite a recommendation to exclude the project from the county's six-year plan for capital improvements. Parents from the region attended the Carroll County school board's regular meeting last week, reiterating the importance of having a new school to relieve overcrowding at Hampstead's North Carroll High School, where they describe students struggling through packed hallways and venturing out to portable buildings for class.
NEWS
By Arin Gencer and Arin Gencer,Sun Reporter | February 18, 2007
A decision to postpone a school-board agenda item has created a stir among parents in the northeastern part of Carroll County. The board had been scheduled to ask the public to submit names for the new northeast area high school. Meant to relieve Hampstead's overcrowded North Carroll High, the school was the second item on the district's capital improvement program budget requests for the 2008 fiscal year - after Ebb Valley Elementary, located in the Manchester area. But a decision at a Jan. 24 board meeting to table the request has raised concerns that the high school will not be built.
NEWS
By Mary Gail Hare and Mary Gail Hare,Sun Reporter | January 28, 2007
Though an effort to tighten a law aimed at limiting residential construction near crowded schools was defeated recently, a less-restrictive proposal is expected to come before the County Council next month. The law - known as the adequate facilities ordinance - was enacted in 1991 to prevent residential construction in areas with crowded schools. But it allows proposed development to proceed if a nearby school's enrollment has not exceeded 105 percent of capacity and if relief - in the form of a new or expanded school - is planned for the near future.
NEWS
By Larry Carson and Larry Carson,SUN STAFF | May 11, 2001
In an otherwise calm budget review, Councilwoman Mary C. Lorsung told Howard County school officials yesterday not to expect her support for a proposed western county elementary school unless they first come up with firm enrollment projections and a long-promised countywide redistricting. "I am moving closer and closer to asking for project E0977 [western elementary] to be removed from the budget," she said at one point in yesterday's council review of the school budget. Lorsung changed the relaxed atmosphere with a hard push on an old sore point - notoriously inaccurate enrollment projections that have fed a continual sense of crisis in school planning, while heightening tensions between county residents and developers.
NEWS
By Anne Haddad and Anne Haddad,SUN STAFF | January 12, 1999
A group of parents intent on building a high school in Westminster by 2002 gained support last night from Westminster City Council, which learned that the latest enrollment projections justify their cause.Together, they hope to persuade the county commissioners to build the school despite a recommendation from Carroll County Planning and Zoning Commission to delay it two years."I think the enrollment projections show there is a need for the new Westminster high school," said Councilman Gregory Pecoraro, who met with the activist parents last week with Mayor Kenneth A. Yowan and Westminster Director of Planning Thomas B. Beyard.
NEWS
January 14, 2007
Redistricting needed balance The school board voted to allow the Fallston High School ninth-graders to remain at Fallston instead of moving them to Bel Air High next year. This was done because the original redistricting plan would have had Bel Air over 100 percent of capacity during its construction, while Fallston's enrollment would have dropped below 80 percent of its capacity. This was the reason the parents were upset. Contrary to the article ("Parents protest shifting students," Jan. 7)
NEWS
BY A SUN REPORTER | June 21, 2006
The sheets of paper swim with figures. Almost 1,200 of them. But one stands out: the number 1. And it means the Howard County school system is inching toward solving the overcrowding that has been a problem for so long. The latest enrollment projections, beginning in 2009, forecast only Manor Woods Elementary will be chronically overcrowded, or "closed," meaning home construction will be sharply restricted in that part of western Howard County. And that school is expected to slip into the "open" category the next year because of an expansion program that will add room for 100 more seats.
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