Internal poll shows movement for Delaney

February 15, 2012|By John Fritze, The Baltimore Sun

An internal poll conducted by Democrat John Delaney’s campaign for Maryland’s 6th District race shows the Potomac financier is gaining ground against State Sen. Robert Garagiola and is tied in a head-to-head matchup, according to a summary of the survey.

The poll, conducted during the first week in February, shows both Delaney and Garagiola receiving 20 percent of the vote. Those figures represent momentum for Delaney, who was down four points in the same poll in November. Both candidates took 21 percent of the vote when undecided respondents were asked if they are leaning toward one candidate or another.

Nearly six in 10 voters said they had not made up their mind for the April 3 primary. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.

The survey, conducted by a well respected Washington firm, Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group, also shows that Delaney’s positive name recognition jumped from 9 percent in November to 17 percent in January. Garagiola’s rating increased three percentage points, to 21 percent.

Both candidates have been lobbing attacks against each other for weeks, however the tit-for-tat has not yet made its way into advertising. Delaney has launched a series of radio ads that have been introductory, including one featuring former Montgomery County executive Doug Duncan.

The campaign also began running a cable television ad Wednesday. 

The district is currently held by Rep.Roscoe G. Bartlett, a 10-term Republican who is seeking reelection, and it is expected to be the most competitive race this year in Maryland and one of the most important in the nation, potentially helping to decide control of the House.

There are three other Democrats running in the primary whose numbers are not included in the summary. As is awlays the case with internal polling, the campaign controls the information included in the summary and important details -- such as the wording and order of questions -- were not included. 

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