The Sun Poll

The Baltimore Sun commissioned a telephone survey of 742 likely Baltimore Democratic primary voters from Aug. 22 to 24

August 28, 2011

THE SUN POLL

The Baltimore Sun commissioned a telephone survey of 742 likely Baltimore Democratic primary voters from Aug. 22 to 24. The Sun's pollster, OpinionWorks of Annapolis, used the Baltimore City Board of Elections database to identify registered voters with a history of voting in municipal primary elections, and gathered survey results from those who ranked their likelihood of voting in the upcoming September primary “50-50” or higher. The Sun's sample was designed to approximate the racial, gender, geographic, and age breakdown of the City’s Democratic primary voting population, based on turnout patterns averaged over the last three primary elections. The margin of error for questions that reflect the entire sample is 3.6 percentage points, which means that in 95 times out of 100, the actual answer obtained by surveying every Baltimore City Democratic primary voter would be within 3.6 percentage points of the answer obtained by using the sample.

The following is the poll script as read to respondents, with results.

 

Issue Environment

  1. What, in your opinion, is the most important issue or challenge facing the City of Baltimore today – I mean the one you would most like to see the Mayor and City Council do something about?  (Open-ended; DO NOT READ LIST; clarify as needed but do not probe. Accept only the first response.)

Crime/Criminal Justice/Drugs.................................................................................. 39%

Economy/Jobs......................................................................................................... 18%

Education/Schools.................................................................................................... 12%

Taxes too high/Cut Taxes........................................................................................ 10%

Growth/Development................................................................................................. 5%

Environment/Chesapeake Bay.................................................................................. 2%

Traffic/Transportation/Roads/Mass Transit................................................................ 2%

Recreation centers/Youth programs/Summer jobs................................................... 1%

Social Services/Help those in need............................................................................ 1%

Vote out incumbents/Need change............................................................................ 1%

Other (Specify.).......................................................................................................... 6%

Not sure (Skip to Q.3.)............................................................................................... 3%

Job Approval

  1. Generally speaking, do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the way Stephanie Rawlings-Blake is handling her job as Mayor of Baltimore?

Strongly approve...................................................................................................... 26%

Somewhat approve.................................................................................................. 42%

Approve (Total)................................................................................................ 68%

Somewhat disapprove.............................................................................................. 12%

Strongly disapprove.................................................................................................. 12%

Disapprove (Total)........................................................................................... 24%

Not sure...................................................................................................................... 8%

  1. Looking back now on Sheila Dixon’s time as Mayor, do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the way Sheila Dixon handled her job as Mayor of Baltimore?

Strongly approve...................................................................................................... 26%

Somewhat approve.................................................................................................. 28%

Approve (Total)................................................................................................ 53%

Somewhat disapprove.............................................................................................. 17%

Strongly disapprove.................................................................................................. 25%

Disapprove (Total)........................................................................................... 42%

Not sure...................................................................................................................... 5%

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