With provincial elections scheduled for the end of January, Iraq's political troubles seem closer to Shakespearean drama than to nascent democracy.
There is talk of a coup to oust the prime minister. The speaker of the parliament has abruptly resigned, making angry accusations on his way out the door.
And there have been sweeping arrests of people believed to be conspiring against the government, both in Baghdad and Diyala province.
Beneath the swirl of accusations and rumors is a power play in which different factions within the government - and some outside it - are struggling to gain ground as American influence in the country wanes and elections approach that could begin to reshape the political landscape in Iraq.
The real struggle is for the country's identity: how much the government will be controlled from Baghdad and how much from the provinces; who will hold power and who will have to give it up.
The American mantra has been that Iraq remains "fragile" - to use the words of Ambassador Ryan C. Crocker and Gen. David Petraeus. On the political front that seems especially true. The one source of political unity recently has been frustration with Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, who has been making arrests and using tribes in the provinces to set up personal power bases. His rivals, conscious of Iraq's long history of dictatorship, are crying foul.
"Maliki is monopolizing all the political, security and economic decisions," said Omar Abdul Sattar, a prominent Sunni member of parliament. He listed political parties that he said were turning against the prime minister, including a powerful Shiite party, the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq, which is fighting al-Maliki's drive to centralize power in Baghdad and pushing to give more to the provinces - where the party has power bases, particularly in the south.
"It's simply the story of the transformation from a democratic prime minister into a dictator," Sattar said.
Fresh in people's minds is the recent detention of 24 employees of the Interior Ministry in Baghdad, and possibly more from other ministries, who, according to some reports, were plotting a coup. Al-Maliki's office vehemently denied that that was the reason for the detentions. In any case, the detentions of at least some of the 24 were politically motivated, according to several senior Iraqi government officials.
