Believe it or not, this is a good time to get in

The patient and those who can stand uncertainty will find market bargains

investing

October 12, 2008|By Andrew Leckey | Andrew Leckey,chicago tribune

Starting out in investing right now might seem irrational, but many investment experts consider this an opportune time.

Financial trauma produces long-term bargains, if you can cope with uncertainty. You'll move gradually into a market that has punished good companies along with the bad, which is the foundation of a value-oriented strategy.

"These ... opportunities represent a great time if you are a long-term investor and fundamentally believe in our free-enterprise system," said Mark Brown, a certified financial planner with Brown & Tedstrom in Denver. "While circumstances of buying opportunities are never comforting, you won't get many chances to buy stocks on sale like this."

A new investor will find the greatest growth through equities rather than bonds, he said. Mutual funds or exchange-traded funds are preferable to individual stocks as you start out because they spread the risk.

Fully funding your company 401(k) retirement account is important for a beginner, Brown said: A good mix would be 60 percent large-cap stocks, 25 percent small-cap stocks and 15 percent international stocks.

Don't be tempted to borrow from your account to buy a car or anything else because that money is sacrosanct, he said.

"A lot of people have thrown in the towel and walked away, and the valuations in certain cases are compelling," said Jeffrey Saut, managing director of investment strategy with Raymond James & Associates in St. Petersburg, Fla.

His tip for beginners is that the first stock sectors to come around when the economy revives will likely be food and health care. He remains wary of financial stocks; it is difficult to determine their book values "because you can't figure out what's on their balance sheets." Bonds won't keep pace with inflation, and a better bet is solid companies with dividend yields that also offer a chance at capital appreciation, he said.

Start with a monthly program of investing a fixed amount in an inexpensive index fund that mimics the entire U.S. stock market, said Curt Weil, a certified financial planner and president of Lasecke Weil Wealth Advisory Group LLC in Palo Alto, Calif.

Diversification comes next, and he considers stocks, bonds and real estate investment trusts all "very cheap" right now.

For example, the $99 billion Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF is an exchange-traded fund that includes virtually every U.S. stock and has a low 0.07 percent annual expense ratio. Exxon Mobil Corp., General Electric Co. and Microsoft Corp. are its largest holdings.

Weil's model portfolio uses low-cost index funds whenever possible to invest an allocation of 30 percent U.S. stocks, 30 percent foreign stocks, 10 percent U.S. bonds, 5 percent foreign bonds, 5 percent natural resources, 10 percent REITs and 10 percent cash.

"If you need the money within the next three years, stick it in a money market fund or certificate of deposit," Weil said. "Successful investing is a game of patience and long-term thinking."

Once you're able to invest more extensively, set an allocation and review your holdings every six months by percentage, he said. If one group has gone up significantly, sell enough to bring it back to your original allocation and use the resulting cash to buy more of any group that has gone down. Such rebalancing forces you to sell when things are high and buy when things are cheaper, he said.

"This is actually a great time for people to be starting out, as counterintuitive as that might seem," said Christine Benz, director of personal finance for Morningstar Inc. in Chicago. "The first step is to get an asset allocation that makes sense, given the person's age, years to retirement and risk tolerance."

For new investors, Benz offers these funds with good prospects:

* The $39 billion Dodge & Cox International Stock Fund. Top holdings include Novartis AG, Royal Bank of Scotland Group and Schlumberger Ltd. Requires a $2,500 minimum initial investment; $1,000 for individual retirement accounts.

* The $3 billion Sequoia Fund, which recently was reopened to new investors. Largest holdings are Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class A, Mohawk Industries Inc. and Martin Marietta Materials. Requires $5,000 minimum; $1,000 for IRAs.

* The $19 billion T. Rowe Price Equity Income Fund. Largest holdings include GE, Chevron Corp. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. Requires $2,500 minimum; $1,000 for IRAs.

E-mail Andrew Leckey at yourmoney@tribune.com.

Baltimore Sun Articles
|
|
|
Please note the green-lined linked article text has been applied commercially without any involvement from our newsroom editors, reporters or any other editorial staff.