It's Kerry by 2-1 in nations around the world

Abroad: If people in other countries had a choice, they would elect the Democratic candidate over President Bush, a survey by the University of Maryland found.

Election 2004: Race For President

September 12, 2004|By Michael Hill

GEORGE W. BUSH might be doing great in domestic polls, but John Kerry is hammering the sitting president overseas.

The Program on International Policy Attitudes (PIPA) of the University of Maryland surveyed more than 34,000 people in 35 countries over the summer and found that those in 30 countries preferred that the Massachusetts senator become the next U.S. president. Three gave the nod to Bush.

"On average, Kerry was favored by more than a 2-to-1 margin - 46 percent to 20 percent," according the statement on the study by PIPA. About a third of those polled expressed no opinion.

"Only one in five want to see Bush re-elected," Steven Kull, director of the program, said in the statement. "Though he is not as well-known, Kerry would win handily if the people of the world were to elect the U.S. president."

The survey found that support for Kerry was greater among those with higher education and income levels.

Kerry's support was strong in traditional allies that Bush has praised for backing the war in Iraq - 47 to 16 percent in Britain, 63 percent to 6 percent in the Netherlands, 58 percent to 14 percent in Italy - as well as in such allies that Bush has criticized for not backing the war - 64 percent to 5 percent in France and 74 percent to 10 percent in Germany. And in Spain, a nation that changed its mind about supporting the war and withdrew its troops, Kerry got the nod by 45 percent to 7 percent.

Poland, which has contributed troops to Iraq, gave a narrow plurality to Bush - 31 percent to Kerry's 26 percent, as did Nigeria, 33 percent to 27 percent. The Philippines was the only country to give Bush a majority - 57 percent to Kerry's 32 percent. Thailand and India were too close to call.

Kerry got the backing of Canadians by a 61 percent to 16 percent margin and of the Japanese, 43 percent to 23 percent.

In 11 developing countries, the difficulties of polling limited the sample to metropolitan areas, according to PIPA. The margin of error of the polls ranged from 2.3 percent to 5 percent.

Results are available on www.pipa.org.

- Michael Hill

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