Davis leaving state job cuts for Schwarzenegger

He may need to lay off thousands by Christmas

October 19, 2003|By Jeffrey L. Rabin | Jeffrey L. Rabin,LOS ANGELES TIMES

It's one more item on the list of state budget headaches that Arnold Schwarzenegger is inheriting: To keep the current year's budget in balance, the new governor may need to lay off thousands of state workers - just in time for Christmas.

That prospect exists because the current budget, which Gov. Gray Davis signed in August, counts on saving $1.1 billion by reducing state payroll costs. The savings were supposed to come from a combination of layoffs, leaving vacant positions open and renegotiating union contracts.

During the summer, the Davis administration notified about 12,000 state workers that they could be laid off. The state has about 200,000 employees, not including people employed by the state university systems whose jobs are not covered by the spending-reduction plan.

Davis, who was seeking support from state workers and their unions in the recall campaign, did not follow through on the layoffs. So far, fewer than 500 workers have been let go, and administration officials agree that the governor has little incentive to lay off anyone else in his remaining weeks on the job.

"I don't think there is going to be much of that for the next month," said state Personnel Director Marty Morgenstern.

That leaves Schwarzenegger with the difficult choice of whether to accept a billion-dollar hole in the budget or terminate thousands of state workers, a move that could be politically difficult and harm the state's economy by increasing unemployment.

Schwarzenegger is to be sworn in as governor in mid-November. If he issues the required 30-day notices of layoffs right away, workers will lose their jobs during the holiday season. If he delays, more workers will have to lose their jobs to accumulate the required savings by June 30, the end of the fiscal year. Already, a quarter of the fiscal year is gone, and the state is nowhere near its target for payroll reductions.

"There are a number of issues related to the state budget that the governor-elect is going to have to address," said H.D. Palmer, a spokesman for Schwarzenegger. "This will be one of them."

Palmer noted that the budget approved by the Legislature and signed by the governor last summer is law unless it is changed. That budget requires a reduction in state spending on its work force.

State Budget Director Steve Peace said Friday that most departments of state government have prepared spending reduction plans that he has approved.

But the Department of Personnel Administration must also review layoff plans before the final 30-day notices can go out to employees. Morgenstern said most decisions on whether to proceed with the layoffs would fall to the next administration.

"If he came in here and continued with our procedures, some of these layoffs could occur during the holidays," Morgenstern said.

During the campaign, Schwarzenegger said that one of the ways he would cut spending would be to renegotiate pay and benefit packages for state workers. He has provided no details.

Jim Hard, director of the California State Employees Association's civil service division, said that the new two-year contract, which expires June 30, 2005, does not allow Schwarzenegger to unilaterally reopen negotiations with the union, which represents more than 90,000 state workers.

Under the contract, the union, not the governor, has that right, Hard said, adding that the CSEA would agree to do so only if it benefits the workers.

"The issue of layoffs is our No. 1 issue," Hard said. "He's going to come in and have to deal with it. It's very bad for our membership. We're very, very concerned."

Hard said he had sent a letter of congratulations to Schwarzenegger after the election and had offered to discuss ways to reduce the number of layoffs. To date, the union has not received a response from the governor-elect's transition staff.

Economists who study California's labor force have expressed worries about the possible effect of layoffs. The University of California, Los Angeles' Anderson Forecast of the state economy has noted that concentrated layoffs of large numbers of state employees could slow economic growth. That, in turn, could reduce state revenues, worsening the budget picture.

Hard said officials of the State Employees Association assume that there will not be 12,000 layoffs. But he said the ultimate number of state workers who lose their jobs is likely to be "significantly larger than 500."

The Los Angeles Times is a Tribune Publishing newspaper.

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