Preakness Day Picks

Special Pullout Guide To Betting

May 18, 2002|By Stephen R. Proctor, a Sun editor, with hanicapping advice provided by Jorge Turcious, who is known around the Maryland tracks as an astute student of the game.

Today's races

Note: Each horse's program number -- which you need to use at the betting window -- is listed in parentheses. Selections are made for a fast track.

1st Race

ANALYSIS

Kimbralata has been competing against the likes of Xtra Heat, Maryland's superstar filly. She'll find much softer competition in today's race and should blow by them in the stretch. Malvern Rose will be in front early and could hang on for second, with A Lot of Mary coming on for third.

WHAT TO BET

Win: Kimbralata (9)

Exacta: Straight exactas of Kimbralata (9) over Malvern Rose (8) and A Lot of Mary (6).

Sun long shot: Quixote's Hope (5) has won five straight against cheaper horses and gets top local jockey Ramon Dominguez today.

2nd Race

ANALYSIS

The best horse in this race - Quest - is on the also-eligible list and will only get in if another horse scratches. Among the others, My Navy looks the toughest. He comes in off of a sharp race against a heavy favorite who went on to win his next time out. Hay Getoutofmyway, who began his career racing against the likes of Preakness contender Booklet, also is super sharp now and should get second. Roger E will race with the early leaders and may have enough to stick around for third.

WHAT TO BET

Win: My Navy (12), or Quest (14) if he gets in .

Exacta: Exacta box of My Navy (12), Hay Getoutofmyway (6) and Roger E (2). If Quest gets in, make it an exacta box of Quest (14), My Navy (12) and Hay Getoutofmyway (6).

Sun long shot: Twothousanddegrees (5), just acquired by trainer Howard Wolfendale, is dangerous under new management.

3rd Race

ANALYSIS

American Style, trained by the accomplished Nick Zito and ridden by the great Gary Stevens, has been facing much tougher horses - among Preakness contender Proud Citizen. Against a much easier field, he should win easily. The entry of Assumed Risk and Dinner Salute presents the biggest threat, with Whirley the pick for third.

WHAT TO BET

Win: American Style (11)

Exacta: Straight exactas of American Style (11) over the Assumed Risk / Dinner Salute (1) entry and Whirley (2).

Sun long shot: Trentino (4) is another just picked up by Howard Wolfendale.

4th Race

ANALYSIS

Don's Prospector, Kid Rigo, Classic Esteem and Firstround KO figure to make a mad dash for the lead. That sets the stage for Wooden Stone to sweep by them as the field comes to the wire. Don's Prospector, the fastest of the fast, should hold on for second. If he avoids the speed duel, Triple Odyssey should be moving late for third.

WHAT TO BET

Win : Wooden Stone (5)

Exacta : Exacta box of Wooden Stone (5), Don's Prospector (9) and Triple Odyssey (7).

Sun long shot: Kentucky J B (3) is super sharp and will be ridden today by former Maryland star Edgar Prado.

5th Race

ANALYSIS

Races on the grass are a specialty for some trainers - among them John R. S. Fisher, whose Political Attack is a standout in this field. Mr. O'Brien, handled by another master turf trainer, Maryland's own Michael W. Dickinson, presents the strongest threat. February Storm loves the lawn and is the pick for third.

WHAT TO BET

Win: Political Attack (4)

Exacta: Straight exactas of Political Attack (4) over Mr. O'Brien (5) and February Storm (7).

Sun long shot: Root With Style (1) won his only race on the grass for top local trainer Dale Capuano.

6th Race

ANALYSIS

Shah Jehan, a colt originally purchased for $4.4 million, comes into this race off of an excellent effort in the Withers Stakes, one of New York's top races. Sarava has had two sharp races after a long rest, and figures to be right there for second. Iron Deputy has never run a bad race and is the pick for third, despite making his first start since January.

WHAT TO BET

Win: Shah Jehan (1)

Exacta : Straight exactas of Shah Jehan over Sarava (6) and Iron Deputy (4).

Sun long shot: The Sewickley Kid (2) was a factor in Maryland's top races for three-year-olds, and is trained by the respected H. Graham Motion.

7th Race

ANALYSIS

Watch, the day's best bet, is a terror in grass races. He's won 7 of 14 and finished second in four others. Not to mention that he has the dynamic duo of trainer William Mott and jockey Jerry Bailey behind him. Siringas, whose trainer Christophe Clement is as good as anyone with turf horses, presents a formidable challenge. Dickinson has De Aar sharp and will be tough.

WHAT TO BET

Win: Watch (11)

Exacta: Exacta box of Watch (11), Siringas (10) and De Aar (13).

Sun long shot: Morena Park (12), handled by another turf wizard, Jonathan Sheppard, made a big move in his last.

8th Race

ANALYSIS

Snow Ridge, from the powerful stable of D. Wayne Lukas, has been competing against the best sprinters in the nation and should make short work of this field. Rusty Spur and He's a Knockout should be among the early leaders and stick around for second and third, respectively.

WHAT TO BET

Win : Snow Ridge (8)

Exacta: Straight exactas of Snow Ridge (8) over Rusty Spur (5) and He's a Knockout (4).

Sun long shot: Clever Gem (2) likes Pimlico, loves today's distance, and is a consistent winner.

9th Race

ANALYSIS

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