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El Nino likely to bring big snow State risk doubled that winter will see 9-inch accumulation

November 15, 1997|By Frank D. Roylance | Frank D. Roylance,SUN STAFF

Watson said the risks of 9-inch-plus snows in Baltimore rose to 62 percent when she used Pacific wind data, rather than sea surface temperatures, to establish when the El Nino events began and ended. The alternate statistical approach dropped the quiet winter of 1994-95 from the mix, and added the winter of 1992-93.

In March 1993, a deadly blizzard was generated by a vast storm system with outer bands stretching from Cuba to the Canadian Maritime provinces. The storm killed more than 200 people and dropped up to three feet of snow from the deep south to New England.

A foot of snow fell on Baltimore, atop 10 inches already on the ground. Snow drifted as high as 15 feet in Carroll County, and Garrett County got 33 inches.

El Nino winters

D8 9-Inch-plus Baltimore snowstorms in El Nino winters:

Year Month, Depth

1958: February, 15.5"

1966: January, 12.1"

1973: None (Record storm from Ga. to N.C.)

@1983: February, 22.8"

1987: January, 12.3"

January, 9.3"

February, 10.1"

1988: None (6" and 8" storms)

1992: None

1995: None

SOURCE: Barbara Watson, National Weather Service

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