Accurate Dow prediction can net dinner invitation

THE TICKER

January 10, 1995|By JULIUS WESTHEIMER

How would you like to enjoy dinner for two as guests of Mr. and Mrs. Ticker at your favorite Maryland restaurant? If you would, try to win our 1995 Dow Jones forecasting contest.

And if you're the second closest, you will be our guest at lunch. The next 10 closest crystal ball-gazers will receive new, best-selling hardback financial books, average price $25.

To enter, send your prediction on a postcard (no letters accepted) for the 1995 year-end closing of the Dow Jones industrial average. Mail the card to: Julius Westheimer, Ticker Contest, Business News Department, 5th Floor, The Baltimore Sun, 501 N. Calvert St., Baltimore 21278.

Print your whole number prediction (no decimals), name, address and home phone number. Give reasons for your selection if you wish, but they are not required. Only one prediction per person, and a coin flip decides ties. Your postcard must be postmarked by midnight, Sunday, Jan. 29.

Get busy, and don't be afraid to try. You have nothing to lose. Several years ago a Hagerstown truck driver who never heard of the Dow Jones average picked a number, mailed in a postcard and won.

To guide you, here are 1995 year-end predictions, ranked by optimism, by local bankers, brokers, financial analysts, portfolio managers, media stars, etc.:

Rich Dubroff, W$W producer ..... 4,587

Allan Prell, WBAL talk host .....4,444

Alan Walden, WBAL news ..... ... 4,420

M. Wasserman, Prudential ....... 4,365

Larry Adam, Dean Witter ........ 4,300

Barry Salzman, Gruntal ......... 4,296

Bruce Elliott, talk show host ...4,286

Gail Dudack, W$W technician .....4,255

Morry Zolet, CFP ................4,250

Mike Meredith, Merrill Lynch ....4,235

Eddie Brown, Balto. adviser .....4,225

David Clogg, Chapin Davis mgr ...4,224

Joseph Sterne, Sun edit. chief ..4,221

Eugene Blattman, McCormick CEO ..4,216

Mary Junck, Sun publisher .......4,200

Nate Chapman, Chapman Co. .......4,200

James Hardesty, Merc. Safe ......4,189

R. Barbaritta, PaineWebber ......4,180

Craig Lewis, Inv. Coun. Md. .....4,180

Jeffrey Schein, my dentist ......4,175

Anthony Deering, CEO, Rouse .....4,150

Mark Dyer, Ferris Baker Watts ...4,148

George Pinsch, my barber ........4,130

Frank Cappiello, mut. fund mgr ..4,120

Pete Colhoun, inv. adviser ......4,115

Geo. Collins, CEO, Rowe Price ...4,102

Mr. Ticker (Too low in '94) .....4,100

Robert G. Wood, inv. adviser ....4,051

Tom Marr, WCBM talk host ........4,044

M. Oppenheimer '94 winner ....... 4,041

Bob Lopez, 98 Rock .............. 4,000

Marty Bass, Channel 13 anchor ....4,000

Louis Goldstein, Md. Comptr ..... 4,000

Chris Poindexter, CEO, BGE ...... 3,953

Dorrit Westheimer (Mrs. Tkr.) ... 3,924

Norman Blake, CEO, USF&G ........ 3,900

Keith Girard, publ. Warfields ... 3,900

Dan Rodricks, Sun columnist ..... 3,844

Ron Smith, WBAL talk host ....... 3,840

Liz O' Neill, Ch. 11 anchor ..... 3,798

Rob Brown, inv. adviser ......... 3,750

Rich Palmer, Alex. Brown ........ 3,622

Carter Randall, inv. couns. ..... 3,600

Carolyn Walpert, my sec'y ....... 3,525

Andy Barth, Ch. 2 reporter ...... 3,333

Bob Fisher, Legg Mason ........... 3,300

Fortune teller, Eastern Ave ...... 3,210

James Grant, Wall St. Week ....... 3,200

Martin Zweig, newsletter ed ...... 3,165

Joseph Granville, gloomster ...... 2,350

TO HELP YOU: The closest "expert" forecasters last year were, in order, Myron Oppenheimer (Nationsbank's Baltimore investment chief), Dorrit Westheimer (Mrs. Ticker), the Pulaski Highway fortune teller, Maryland Comptroller Louis Goldstein, investment adviser Robert G. Wood (Wood Capital Management), Mr. Ticker and Frank Cappiello, a mutual fund manager. The Dow Jones industrial average opened this year at 3,833.34, up about 2 percent last year. For more guidance, read Forbes' Jan. 16 cover story, "Sir John Templeton on How to Beat the Market: The Principle of Maximum Pessimism" and Barron's extra-thick, 248-page issue ($3), dated Jan. 9, on newsstands this week, including the article, "Why A Noted Market Guru (James Finucane) Turned Bullish."

Get busy!

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