It has nothing to do with the glacier-like pace the Orioles have established in negotiations with Cal Ripken, but activity involving potential free agents will be slower than normal this year.
The reason? Outwardly at least, collusion doesn't appear to be a factor -- but the 26 existing teams will do their dealing with an eye toward stocking the National League expansion teams in Miami and Denver. And the players who might be eligible in those drafts don't figure to be in any hurry to reach a salary agreement before knowing where they are going to play.
Each team will be allowed to protect 15 players. Any player who would have to be protected from the Rule V draft (those with three years or more experience in the minor leagues) will be eligible for the expansion draft.
All 10-and-five players (players with 10 years in the majors, at least the past five of those with one team) and those with no-trade clauses in their contracts must be included among the 15 protected players.
But free agents won't figure into the equation, reducing the overall number available to the expansion teams in the stocking process. The flip side, of course, is that those players will be eligible to sign with any of the 28 teams.
"I think teams will weigh in the factor they can protect only 15 players," said Michael Maas, associate of Ron Shapiro, who represents many players who figure to be involved. "The other approach would be to sign free agents and leave them unprotected -- exposing them to two teams rather than 28.
"But generally, I agree that you'll probably see a little less action on some free agents. You also won't see many call-ups in September among players not on the 40-man roster."
Anybody on the 40-man roster, naturally, will be eligible for the expansion process. That would preclude, for instance, the nTC Orioles bringing up Mark Smith, last year's No. 1 draft choice, because such a move would throw him into the pool of players who had to be protected or exposed to the expansion teams.
It also means that players selected in the amateur draft next month won't be tendered major-league contracts.
You will recall that was the hang-up between last year's No. 1 pick, Brien Taylor, and the New York Yankees, who didn't want to have to protect a 19-year-old prospect.
This numbers game, however, won't affect the top players, such as Ripken and Kirby Puckett. It would make no sense for the Orioles and Twins to let those two become free agents merely for the sake of being able to protect an extra borderline player.
Of course, a lot of people might argue that it hasn't made any sense for the Orioles to let the Ripken negotiations drag on this long, but what do we know?
Only that the clock is ticking -- and the point where Ripken has nothing to lose by testing the market is rapidly approaching.
Does Tram stop here?: There is increasing speculation in Detroit that Alan Trammell's career as an everyday position player may be over. It is not completely disputed by Trammell, who could, but probably won't, become a free agent at the end of the season.
He is on the disabled list with a fracture of the same ankle (right) that he severely sprained a year ago and isn't due back until July.
Trammell has never played a position other than shortstop as a professional, but how the Tigers use him when he comes back could depend on how Scott Livingstone performs at third base.
If Livingstone hits, Trammell could be relegated to designated hitter. If Livingstone doesn't hit, the Tigers may want to use Trammell at third. Travis Fryman has emerged as a forceful player and has reached the point where shuttling between the positions could be risky because of the different throws involved.
In any event, Trammell is aware of his uncertain status. He doesn't think any other teams would be interested in him as anything other than an everyday player, meaning shortstop.
Even if they did, he's indicated he has no desire to leave Detroit.
"If the Tigers want me, in whatever role, I want to stay," said Trammell. "I want to help this club. I hope they give me another chance."
Trammell's salary is $2.4 million, the biggest contract of his career. He may have to take a pay cut, but don't expect the Tigers to force him out.
"He'll get as fair a shake as a man can get," said manager Sparky Anderson, who won't do the negotiating, but presumably will carry some clout with the club's new owners, assuming the sale of the Tigers is completed.
"If you give people a fair shake, you usually get one in return," said Anderson, referring to the fact that Trammell has remained loyal to the Detroit organization.
Trammell broke his ankle while running to first base -- not when he stepped on the bag (he touched that with his left foot) -- leading to some suspicion he may actually have incurred a fracture with his injury a year ago.