Hidden Information Causes Prophet's Percentage To Slip

This Week, Look For Falcons To Win Classic

November 07, 1991|By PROPHET PAT

It's hard to believe, but here it is the final week of regular season in high school football with the Prophet accurately calling 72 percent of the games.

Last week, the Prophet had an off-week at 6-3 ashis overall percentage slipped from .729 to .723 at 68-26.

All that is left after this week will be the playoffs with at least two county teams involved -- Old Mill (4A) and South River (3A).

Last week, the Prophet missed big time on Severna Park and also failed on Meade and Severn.

In his "Upset Special," the Prophet called for Arundel to upend Severna Park, 22-21, but the Falcons rolled, 36-7. In defense of the sage, had he known that the game was going to be moved to Thursday instead of the regularly scheduled Friday night,he might have changed his pick.

The shorter week was to Severna Park's advantage because of the size of its squad and Falcons' coach Andy Borland has always done well on Halloween.

Broadneck won at Meade, 14-7, after the Prophet said it would be Meade, 14-0. Here again, information was kept from the Prophet, this time not the date of the game, but a mutiny at Meade, where 12 to 14 guys quit the team.

Had the Prophet been made privy to the loss of that many Mustangs, hemost certainly would have chosen Broadneck.

St. Mary's was the Prophet's pick by 20-19 to edge Severn and gain a share of the MarylandScholastic Association C Conference title with St. Paul's. It didn'thappen, as the Admirals' outstanding junior quarterback Brad Fowler unloaded a couple of touchdown passes to Jason Wade for a 16-6 Severnvictory.

As for the Prophet hits last week, here they are, with his pick in parentheses: Annapolis 20, Chesapeake 0 (Annapolis, 27-6);Old Mill 34, Queen Anne's 7 (Old Mill, 28-0); South River 28, Northeast 13 (South River, 31-7); Southern 41, John Carroll 6 (Southern, 27-6); North County 7, Glen Burnie 6 (North County, 24-0); and Archbishop Spalding 7, Archbishop Curley 6 (Spalding, 20-6).

Other than opening night, the final week of regular season that pits neighbors andarchrivals is always the toughest slate, but the Prophet loves the challenge.

*

Severna Park (6-3) at Annapolis (6-3), 7:30 p.m. Friday, "Game of the Week," Annapolis United Cable TV Channel 19 on a delayed broadcast at 9 p.m.

The winner of this 32nd annual classic could slip into the 4A playoffs after all the bonus points are counted. The loser is staying home for sure.

This is the county's oldestand best rivalry, and while it doesn't have the usual luster of deciding a county title or definite playoff spot, it still is a great game.

Annapolis leads the series at 16-13-3. In addition to the regular season, the two teams met in the 1987 state playoffs with Severna Park winning, 16-7, for an unprecedented second win over the Panthersthat year.

Annapolis last won in 1989 by 23-14 in what was head coach Roy Brown's first year after succeeding Al Laramore. Severna Park won in 1988, 10-7, and last season, 34-20.

The edge clearly goesto Severna Park, especially in the category of knowing how to win, because Annapolis is so young and doesn't realize how good it could be.

The edge goes to the Falcons on offense with more experienced and polished junior quarterback Tim Bowerman and running back Teddy Jennings, who is a bull who plays well in the big games.

As for receiving, Rob McCandless and John Milisitz give Severna Park the edge, asdoes Milisitz in the place-kicking department. Annapolis gets the edge in punting with sophomore Chris Wright and also on the offensive and defensive lines.

The defensive nod goes to Annapolis with the likes of linebacker Ty Selby and down-lineman Demond Galloway, but theProphet believes the Falcons will score enough to win tomorrow night.

This season, there is no such thing as home-field advantage for the Panthers, who have only nine seniors. Annapolis has suffered all three of its losses at home, 18-17 to Randallstown, 15-13 to Arundel,and 22-14 to Old Mill in overtime.

Annapolis is 4-0 on the road and 2-3 at home, including a homecoming loss. Severna Park is 3-1 on the road and 3-2 at home.

The Prophet believes that the Falcons' disposition of expecting to win and knowing how to is the big difference in these two teams.

Because of its youth, Annapolis has not learned how to win as displayed in all three losses that went down to thewire. The future is what Annapolis has to look forward to, and CoachBrown shouldn't be totally disappointed to finish at 6-4 with this team. Severna Park 27, Annapolis 20.

*

Broadneck (5-4) at North County (7-2), 7 p.m. Friday

The host Knights of Chuck Markiewicz know what's at stake here. They know a victory means they're in the Class 4A state playoffs, and the Prophet says there won't be any denying them.

This North County team has come too far in only its secondyear and wants it badly.

Broadneck stands in the way, with the Bruins guaranteed a .500 or better season for the first time in Jeff Herrick's three-year tenure, but the Prophet doesn't think they have enough firepower to upset the Knights.

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