"It certainly is one of the areas we're looking at," says James Rowland, a spokesman for the state budget office. Other administration officials confirm that the local tax grants are among the expenditures on the budget-cutting block.
At the first official session of its three-day convention, the Maryland Association of Counties will discuss "Fiscal Issues for Federal, State and Local Governments." U.S. Representative Benjamin L. Cardin, D-Md.-3rd; state Sen. Laurence Levitan, D-Montgomery; and Anne Arundel County Executive Robert R. Neall -- all experts on government finance -- are on the panel.
Gov. William Donald Schaefer is scheduled to address the convention tomorrow, and his aides say government finance will almost certainly be part of his message. Mr. Schaefer is likely to remind the county officials of their opposition to a major tax increase he proposed last year.
Though administration officials said the governor is still weighing his options for cutting programs or raising revenue, Mr. Schaefer will have his own budget-cutting war stories for the county leaders.
Budget Secretary Charles L. Benton Jr. told the Board of Public Works last week that entire programs almost certainly will disappear this year. An assortment of state officials say layoffs in the state work force, avoided for the most part up to now, are virtually inevitable. Mr. Schaefer also reportedly is considering a special session for November to ask for additional taxes.
County officials will be pressing the governor and his aides for information on what form the state cuts will take: whether, for example, the state will cut aid to education or police aid or simply take part or all of the $97 million tax-grant program.
This program has considerable appeal for local officials because it comes in the form of a flexible grant that can be used at local discretion.
That a substantial "hit" is coming, however, seemed to be an accepted fact. While the state has cut about $660 million over the past year or so, local governments have absorbed only about $20 million of that. Now, with its deficits still growing, the state has nowhere else to turn, several county officials conceded.
While the state government has balanced its budget by raiding funds for parkland, industrial development or highway construction, cuts made by county officials tend to land on school books, jobs and fire-fighting equipment.
"State government has been through significant amounts of hell," says Dennis F. Parkinson, a former state budget officer and now Mr. Neall's budget director, "but local government is where the rubber hits the road."
The city of Baltimore would have to add about 9.5 cents to its $5.90-per-$100 property tax rate -- by far the highest in the state -- to replace the $7.8 million it stands to lose.
Anne Arundel officials have been ordered to devise a plan for lopping $10 million from the $616 million budget. At least $5 million of this would come from the school department, which accounts for more than half the county's spending.
The $10 million target set by County Executive Neall is slightly higher than the $9,209,000 the county is scheduled to get from the state under the property tax grant program. To replace that $10 million by raising taxes would mean adding about 10 cents to the county's $2.45 per $100 tax rate -- an option Mr. Neall has ruled out.
"Obviously, the state has a problem," says Raymond S. Wacks, the Howard County budget director. "They have to do something. We hope its soon."
Mr. Wacks says his budget is already 5.5 percent less than last year's. Forty of the 1,800 employees have been laid off, and the county is borrowing to cover a shortfall of up to $3 million for last year.
Mr. Neall says prudence compels him to plan for less money than the state promised this year.
"If we begin planning now, we will be well positioned to face our share of any bad news that comes from the State House."
The following is a list of the grants the counties were to receive in the current fiscal year from the state's 21-cent property tax. The Schaefer administration is considering cutting these grants as it addresses its $300 million budget deficit.
Allegany. . . . . . ..$723,000
Anne Arundel. . . . $9,209,000
Baltimore City. . . 7,807,000
Baltimore Co.. . . 12,916,000
Calvert. . . . . . . 1,196,000
Caroline. . . . . . . 341,000
Carroll. . . . . . . 2,304,000
Charles. . . . . . . 1,743,000
Cecil. . . . . . . . 1,193,000
Dorchester. . . . . . 472,000
Frederick. . . . . . 3,098,000
Garrett. . . . . . . . 537,000
Harford. . . . . . . 2,971,000
Howard. . . . . . . 5,140,000
Kent. . . . . . . . . 402,000
Montgomery. . . . . 25,864,000
Prince George's. . 13,261,000
Queen Anne's. . . 798,000
St. Mary's. . . 1,235,000
Somerset. . . . . 253,000
Talbot. . . . . 1,080,000
Washington. . . 1,689,000
Wicomico. . . . 1,074,000
Worcester. . . . 2,045,000
Source: Budget Highlights for Fiscal Year 1992